19 Comments

Moldbug is Machiavelli to Cummings's Lorenzo de' Medici. Un-frigging-real

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"A regime change is like a satellite launch—it either reaches orbit, establishing a new and stable constitutional state (maybe even under the same document), or it explodes."

Here's a handy Saint-Just quote for the same notion: "Whoever does only half of a revolution, just digs his own grave".

(Well, he, of all people, would know)

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The comparison to Germany's regime changes in 20C is spot on: 1) From the German Empire to the Weimar Republic was like Brexit. Becoming a "republic" was a goal in itself and afterwards - who knows? It's a republic so we figure something out and everything will be fine. Didn't work out very well. Weimar ist interesting because it shows a template how to end democracy by elections (also by emergency ruling). For me our current times also seem a bit like alternate Weimar Republic where the Nazis aren't elected. Weimar where the dysfunctional establishment continues in 1933

2) The regime change to the Nazis was as complete as any neoreactionary could hope. But: Hitler. Very effective revolution but wrong goals and end structure

2.1) Failed coup of July 20th 1944. Interestingly their goal was not democracy but rather monarchy in the structure of the German Empire. Sounds pretty reactionary. But they had very limited means and a fractured power base. Interesting "what if...?" scenario nevertheless

3) De-Nazification did work but total military defeat was needed as foundation. Also the very real crimes of the Nazi regime were needed to morally condemn it. Wouldn't work today because people wouldn't support the view that every gov employee was part of crimes against humanity. It would seem like fake justice

3.1) East Germany's change to socialism was also pretty complete and they had a long term vision - communism. But their plan sucked and so did their system. Got rotten without being a democracy or having a Cathedral. But quite similar symptoms in the end to our system today

4) West Germany swallows the GDR. Also changed everything and was a complete regime change. But: They should have also abolished the SED party from the GDR. So they're still powerful under their new name 'Die Linke'. Would be like if they didn't demolish the NSDAP and they would still be today - und a new name - in german parliaments

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"And needless to say, you need to be able to sell this reset to both red and blue cultures. I don't really think there can be a successful reset which is completely partisan."

What would our friends in Kandahar have to say about this?

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My objective for brexit was that the UK should leave the EU and then British politicians would no longer have any excuse for their incompetence and petty power lust. I'm happy just to watch what happens next.

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Brexit was a bipartisan plan to shut up the proles once and for all. No one with any power even contemplated a Leave result.

FDR had the kind of thumping majorities needed for his kind of makeover. The American people haven’t come close to giving that kind of mandate to any subsequent administration.

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Did Cummings respond to this?

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